January 27, 2009

Don't panic about teen sex trends. Do panic about pundits and pols who cannot read newspapers

Despite thumbnail histories of cultural declension, it just isn't the case that teenagers are uncontrollable cauldrons of hormones: teens are less likely to have sex than teens of the mid-90s. The alarming trend is a reversal of declining teen birth rates. Before the middle of the Bush era, teen birth rates had generally tracked adult rates (i.e., declining since the Baby Boom peak of the late 1950s).

And it's too soon to know if this one- or two-year trend is a minor bump or a serious trend. Just like test scores...

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Tags: Baby Boom, fertility, sex, teenage pregnancy
Posted in History on January 27, 2009 2:14 PM |